Michigan, Virginia Tech and South Dakota State are the most popular picks to pull off upsets in the 2022 NCAA men's tournament NCAA.com
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PRESENTED BY If you like Michigan or Virginia Tech to pull an 11-over-6 upset this year, you aren't alone. More than half of the completed brackets had No. 11 Michigan knocking out No. 6 Colorado State (50.79 percent). A similar number of brackets have No. 11 Virginia Tech (50.13) beating No. 6 Texas. If you're thinking even bigger for a Cinderella by seed, No. 13 South Dakota State is picked to defeat No. 4 Providence on 38.36 percent of brackets. In other words, the 13th-seeded Jackrabbits are a more popular pick to advance than any No. 12 seed. That percentage is drastically higher than the top No. 13 pick last year, when 20.85 percent had Ohio topping Virginia. And the Bobcats did just that — as did North Texas, which was correctly selected to beat Purdue on 11.32 percent of brackets. Here's a more complete look at the upset picks, broken down by seed. The most popular upset pick for each seed in the MBCG is bolded. No 16 vs No 1
Matchup Upset pick percentage No. 16 Norfolk State vs. No. 1 Baylor 3.38 No. 16 Wright State vs. No. 1 Arizona 2.40 No. 16 Texas Southern vs. No. 1 Kansas 2.30 No. 16 Georgia State vs. No. 1 Gonzaga 2.28 Baylor is the defending champion, but the Bears are the fourth No. 1 this year. Fans also might be thinking Norfolk State could work some magic again. Ten years ago, Norfolk State became the fifth No. 15 seed to shock a No. 2, as the Spartans stunned No. 2 Missouri — the first 15-over-2 since 2001. No 15 vs No 2
Matchup Upset pick percentage No. 15 Jacksonville State vs. No. 2 Auburn 4.41 No. 15 Delaware vs. No. 2 Villanova 3.99 No. 15 Saint Peter's vs. No. 2 Kentucky 3.04 No. 15 Cal State Fullerton vs. No. 2 Duke 2.84 The percentages are lower this year, as big-name powers help make up the seed list and Auburn seemed poised to grab a top seed not too long ago. For those curious, Oral Roberts was picked on 4.25 percent of brackets against Ohio State. We know how that turned out. No 14 vs No 3
Matchup Upset pick percentage No. 14 Colgate vs. No. 3 Wisconsin 13.9 No. 14 Montana State vs. No. 3 Texas Tech 10.89 No. 14 Longwood vs. No. 3 Tennessee 6.20 No. 14 Yale vs. No. 3 Purdue 6.15 They're back. Colgate is the top 14 seed pick once more, with the Raiders following up 2021's 16.52 percent vs. No. 3 Arkansas with a 13.82 this year. Last season, only 8 percent foresaw Abilene Christian eliminating Texas. No 13 vs No 4
Matchup Upset pick percentage No. 13 South Dakota State vs. No. 4 Providence 38.36 No. 13 Vermont vs. No. 4 Arkansas 28.25 No. 13 Chattanooga vs. No. 4 Illinois 19.29 No. 13 Akron vs. No. 4 UCLA 7.00 Two 13 seeds successfully upset 4s in 2021: Ohio (vs. Virginia) and North Texas (vs. Purdue). That could be keeping folks' eyes open for more this time, as we're seeing a dramatic rise in picks. In 2021, adding up the No. 13 seeds' percentages totaled 53.61 percent. This year they're getting to 92.48 percent. You can also thank South Dakota State and Vermont for that rise. The Jackrabbbits are 30-4, haven't lost since Dec. 15 and have one of the most lethal offenses in the nation. Vermont is 28-5, has lost just once since Dec. 7 and won its three America East tournament games by 39, 32 and 39 points. No 12 vs No 5
Matchup UPSET PICK PERCENTAGE No. 12 Indiana vs. No. Saint Mary's 30.27 No. 12 UAB vs. No. 5 Houston 22.33 No. 12 New Mexico State vs. No. 5 UConn 16.09 No. 12 Richmond vs. No. 5 Iowa 9.36 Note that Indiana's percentage includes any brackets that picked the IU-Wyoming winner out of the First Four and didn't change after the result, meaning some users might have thought Wyoming would win but didn't switch their pick for the No. 12 seed against the Gaels. No 11 vs No 6
Matchup UPSET PICK PERCENTAGE No. 11 Michigan vs. No. 6 Colorado State 50.79 No. 11 Virginia Tech vs. No. 6 Texas 50.13 No. 11 Notre Dame vs. No. 6 Alabama 30.55 No. 11 Iowa State vs. No. 6 LSU 28.12 Two 11 seeds have gone from the First Four to the Final Four: 2011 VCU and UCLA only a year ago. But you have to get out of the round of 64 first. Fans really like both the Wolverines and the Hokies so much that more BCG brackets have the 11s winning those games more often than the 6s.
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LISTEN: 2022 March Madness schedule livestream links
Click or tap on any of the games below to be taken directly to that live stream or box score. GAMES TIME TV CITY Venue National Championship — Monday, April 4 9:20 p.m. TBS New Orleans, Louisiana Caesars Superdome RESULTS TIME NETWORK CITY SITE First Four — Tuesday, March 15 6:40 p.m. truTV Dayton, Ohio UD Arena 9:10 p.m. truTV Dayton, Ohio UD Arena First Four — Wednesday, March 16 6:40 p.m. truTV Dayton, Ohio UD Arena 9:10 p.m. truTV Dayton, Ohio UD Arena First Round — Thursday, March 17 12:15 p.m. CBS Indianapolis, Indiana Gainbridge Fieldhouse 12:40 p.m. truTV Buffalo, New York KeyBank Center 1:45 p.m. TNT Portland, Oregon Moda Center 2 p.m. TBS Fort Worth, Texas Dickies Arena 2:45 p.m. CBS Indianapolis, Indiana Gainbridge Fieldhouse 3:10 p.m. truTV Buffalo, New York KeyBank Center 4:15 p.m. TNT Portland, Oregon Moda Center 4:30 p.m. TBS Fort Worth, Texas Dickies Arena 6:50 p.m. TNT Buffalo, New York KeyBank Center 7:10 p.m. CBS Indianapolis, Indiana Gainbridge Fieldhouse 7:20 p.m. TBS Portland, Oregon Moda Center 7:27 p.m. truTV Fort Worth, Texas Dickies Arena 9:20 p.m. TNT Buffalo, New York KeyBank Center 9:40 p.m. CBS Indianapolis, Indiana Gainbridge Fieldhouse 9:50 p.m. TBS Portland, Oregon Moda Center 9:57 p.m. truTV Fort Worth, Texas Dickies Arena First Round — Friday, March 18 12:15 p.m. CBS Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania PPG Paints Arena 12:40 p.m. truTV Greenville, South Carolina Bon Secours Wellness Arena 1:45 p.m. TNT San Diego, California Viejas Arena 2 p.m. TBS Milwaukee, Wisconsin Fiserv Forum 2:45 p.m. CBS Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania PPG Paints Arena 3:10 p.m. truTV Greenville, South Carolina Bon Secours Wellness Arena 4:15 p.m. TNT San Diego, California Viejas Arena 4:30 p.m. TBS Milwaukee, Wisconsin Fiserv Forum 6:50 p.m. TNT Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania PPG Paints Arena 7:10 p.m. CBS Greenville, South Carolina Bon Secours Wellness Arena 7:20 p.m. TBS Milwaukee, Wisconsin Fiserv Forum 7:27 p.m. truTV San Diego, California Viejas Arena 9:20 p.m. TNT Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania PPG Paints Arena 9:40 p.m. CBS Greenville, South Carolina Bon Secours Wellness Arena 9:50 p.m. TBS Milwaukee, Wisconsin Fiserv Forum 9:57 p.m. truTV San Diego, California Viejas Arena Second Round — Saturday, March 19 12:10 p.m. CBS Fort Worth, Texas Dickies Arena 2:40 p.m. CBS Fort Worth, Texas Dickies Arena 5:15 p.m. CBS Indianapolis, Indiana Gainbridge Fieldhouse 6:10 p.m. TNT Buffalo, New York KeyBank Center 7:10 p.m. TBS Portland, Oregon Moda Center 7:45 p.m. CBS Indianapolis, Indiana Gainbridge Fieldhouse 8:40 p.m. TNT Buffalo, New York KeyBank Center 9:40 p.m. TBS Portland, Oregon Moda Center Second Round — Sunday, March 20 12:10 p.m. CBS Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania PPG Paints Arena 2:40 p.m. CBS Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania PPG Paints Arena 5:15 p.m. CBS Greenville, South Carolina Bon Secours Wellness Arena 6:10 p.m. TNT Milwaukee, Wisconsin Fiserv Forum 7:10 p.m. TBS San Diego, California Viejas Arena 7:45 p.m. truTV Greenville, South Carolina Bon Secours Wellness Arena 8:40 p.m. TNT Milwaukee, Wisconsin Fiserv Forum 9:40 p.m. TBS San Diego, California Viejas Arena Sweet 16 — Thursday, March 24 7:09 p.m. CBS San Francisco, California Chase Center 7:29 p.m. TBS San Antonio, Texas AT&T Center 9:39 p.m. CBS San Francisco, California Chase Center 9:59 p.m. TBS San Antonio, Texas AT&T Center Sweet 16 — Friday, March 25 7:09 p.m. CBS Philadelphia, Pennsylvania Wells Fargo Center 7:29 p.m. TBS Chicago, Illinois United Center 9:39 p.m. CBS Philadelphia, Pennsylvania Wells Fargo Center 9:59 p.m. TBS Chicago, Illinois United Center Elite Eight — Saturday, March 26 6:09 p.m. TBS San Antonio, Texas AT&T Center 8:49 p.m. TBS San Francisco, California Chase Center Elite Eight — Sunday, March 27 2:20 p.m. CBS Chicago, Illinois United Center 5:05 p.m. CBS Philadelphia, Pennsylvania Wells Fargo Center Final Four — Saturday, April 2 6:09 p.m. TBS New Orleans, Louisiana Caesars Superdome 8:49 p.m. TBS New Orleans, Louisiana Caesars Superdome Matt McKillop follows his father' s winning footsteps at Davidson a few feet closer to home
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