GOP leaps back into contention in Arizona Senate race HEAD TOPICS

GOP leaps back into contention in Arizona Senate race

10/22/2022 8:50:00 PM

Blake Masters is running just a handful of points behind Democratic Sen Mark Kelly in recent polling

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POLITICO

Blake Masters is running just a handful of points behind Democratic Sen Mark Kelly in recent polling Blake Masters is running just a handful of points behind Democratic Sen Mark Kelly in recent polling. Link Copied“There’s a very narrow path to victory for Democrats in Arizona,” said Roy Herrera, a Democratic election attorney and consultant in the state. “Any poll that shows the Democrats are doing any better than the low or mid-single digits is probably not accurate, or won’t be maintained through the election cycle.” “We believe this is a race that’s within a point in either direction, and there’s still a good chance that we would lose,” the person said. “And it’s important people understand that.”But in SLF’s absence, a host of other outside Republican groups have stepped in to fund advertisements on Masters’ behalf. A pro-Masters super PAC funded in the primary by billionaire Peter Thiel has reemerged in the general election, and a new super PAC backed by former President Donald Trump has charged in as well. Read more:
POLITICO » Sara Lee's Husband, Westin Blake, Mourns Wrestling Star's Death Union edge FC Cincinnati 1-0 in playoff opener with Andre Blake and Leon Flach’s heroics Padres' Blake Snell gets a 96-year-old grandma into Petco Park for NLCS Spurs rookie Blake Wesley gets a touch of home in Indiana

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Snap Inc shares sank more than 30% on Friday and hit their lowest since the pandemic, after the company's forecast of zero revenue growth pointed to more pain ahead for a social media sector heavily dependant on digital advertising. Read more >> Astonishing this sack of garbage has any support Blake must deny all the disinformation put out by Mark against him, while informing the public of Mark’s uneventful record. donsurber It's because Democrats suck Blue wave in November. This dude looks like an alien pretending to be a man What a disgrace to be putting in the yes men. I hope the Independents have sense to split the ticket. As a Republican, I'm fond of the 2 or 3 party system, not one party rule. Like sportscasters on TV. Always want to make it an even horse race. Good for clicks. 😉 Why not have a headline that says Kelly continues to hold a solid lead in Arizona Sara Lee's Husband, Westin Blake, Mourns Wrestling Star's DeathSara Lee's husband, Westin Blake, is breaking his silence over the wrestling star's tragic death. Did she clip herself? What happened Does this mean no more cinnamon rolls or coffee cake? She made great cakes. Going to miss her. Union edge FC Cincinnati 1-0 in playoff opener with Andre Blake and Leon Flach’s heroicsThe Union survived a rough-and-tumble opener to their playoff run, edging FC Cincinnati with a 1-0 win thanks to a 59th-minute goal from Leon Flach. But it was enough to advance them to the Eastern Conference final. MLSCupPlayoffs They smothered any bit of fire that Cincy had Padres' Blake Snell gets a 96-year-old grandma into Petco Park for NLCSTikTok campaign to get 96-year-old grandma to Padres' NLCS game at Petco Park reaches Blake Snell, who makes it happen Spurs rookie Blake Wesley gets a touch of home in IndianaBlake Wesley’s first regular-season NBA road trip took him back home to Indiana. Blake Anderson: Security guard beaten by LA County deputies during arrest breaks silenceFor the first time, we are hearing from the security guard who was beaten by LA County deputies before his arrest. The man was also joined by civil rights attorney Ben Crump. A thug. An armed felon. Got what he deserved. How can a licensed security guard have a POST certificate and be permitted to be an armed security guard with a prior felony and on actice parole? “Security guard” 🙄 cmon you’re better than that Paul Feig Teases A Simple Favor Sequel With Blake Lively and Anna Kendrick - E! OnlineLoved the 2018 movie A Simple Favor with Blake Lively and Anna Kendrick? Well, director Paul Feig is dropping a clue about the 'flair' of the sequel that may have you raising your martini. Republican candidate for U.'s husband, Westin Blake , is breaking his silence over the wrestling star's tragic death .one goal and three assists .Advertisement “I was so happy,” Morrill said. S. Senate Blake Masters speaks at a campaign rally on Oct.. 9, 2022, in Mesa, Arizona. He took a first-time swing with his left foot and smashed the ball past Roman Celentano, unleashing an explosion of noise from the stands. Mario Tama/Getty Images By 10/22/2022 01:37 PM EDT Link Copied Just a month after national Republicans appeared to give up on Arizona Republican Blake Masters, the Trump-backed Senate candidate has staged a comeback — and Arizona is in play. As we previously reported, the former"Tough Enough" winner passed away at 30 years old earlier this month . National and Arizona Democratic operatives are privately fretting that incumbent Sen. So when the Padres began playing postseason baseball at Petco Park last weekend in the National League Division Series, besting the detested Dodgers, she received calls from her granddaughters — also Padres fans, like the rest of their family — who regaled stories about the atmosphere, the sold-out stadium, the fans waving their towels, the chants of “Beat L. Mark Kelly is endangered, noting a shift by previously undecided voters toward the GOP, aided by a patchwork of new Republican spending to bolster Masters.. The latter move brought an end to Cincinnati’s 5-3-2 setup, changing it to a 4-3-3. Recent polling has shown Kelly’s lead shrinking to a few points, much tighter than surveys showed throughout August and September. “There’s a very narrow path to victory for Democrats in Arizona,” said Roy Herrera, a Democratic election attorney and consultant in the state. The former WWE Superstar -- who had three children with Lee -- poured his heart out in the emotional Instagram post . “Any poll that shows the Democrats are doing any better than the low or mid-single digits is probably not accurate, or won’t be maintained through the election cycle. Glesnes shines Back to the defense for a moment.” After Masters’ poor performance in post-primary polling, many observers appeared to conclude that the 36-year-old venture capitalist was a longshot to unseat Kelly, a former astronaut with a formidable fundraising operation..” Her granddaughter Anais Pauley, 34, looked for tickets to Tuesday and Wednesday’s NLCS games against the Philadelphia Phillies, but the selection was slim for seats that were wheelchair accessible and the few she found were going for hefty fees. A Democrat close to the Kelly campaign said Arizona should never have been considered “safe” for the party this year — even as Masters struggled earlier in the general election. “We believe this is a race that’s within a point in either direction, and there’s still a good chance that we would lose,” the person said. "I loved you from the first moment I saw you," Blake said on Instagram. He even made some big runs upfield with the ball to disorganize Cincinnati’s press. “And it’s important people understand that.” Polling in Arizona has not always been accurate in recent elections." "Beautiful, compassionate, strong and so loving. In Arizona’s 2020 special Senate election, for instance, polls showed Kelly with a sizable, at times double-digit lead over then-Sen. He also had nine defensive recoveries. Pauley immediately called Morrill to tell her the good news. Martha McSally, who was appointed to the seat in 2019." Blake -- real name Cory Weston -- praised Lee for being the backbone of their family . An election-eve survey by Reuters and Ipsos had Kelly leading by 9 percentage points. But Kelly ultimately won by just under 2.. But when the final whistle blew, the Union were headed to their second consecutive Eastern Conference final, and a long-awaited chance to redeem last year’s COVID-wracked loss in the same game last year.5 points. The state, one of several possible pickup opportunities for Republicans trying to net at least one seat to take control of the narrowly divided Senate, has proven to be more difficult for the GOP than other battlegrounds this election. "I really don’t know what to say in these uncertain times. Senate Leadership Fund, the super PAC aligned with Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, canceled roughly $18 million in planned advertisements from Arizona this fall as the group looked to other states as more likely GOP wins. The super PAC’s decision to pull out of the state — cuts that came in two waves — signaled to many that Masters would not be viable in the general election." "I can’t promise that I will stop grieving but I know now, that you’re free. But in SLF’s absence, a host of other outside Republican groups have stepped in to fund advertisements on Masters’ behalf. A pro-Masters super PAC funded in the primary by billionaire Peter Thiel has reemerged in the general election, and a new super PAC backed by former President Donald Trump has charged in as well." " I LOVE YOU SARA". While it remains to be seen whether Thiel himself will put additional money into Saving Arizona, the vehicle he used to help Masters win the GOP nomination, other donors have given to the super PAC since the primary. A spokesperson for Saving Arizona said the super PAC believes it will have the resources needed to remain on television for Masters through Election Day. While economic conditions are hurting Democrats’ chances with unaffiliated voters, the Republican base now appears to be consolidating behind Masters after remaining splintered in the aftermath of the Aug. 2 primary. Masters was endorsed in the primary by Trump, who narrowly lost the state in 2020 and who has publicly clashed with GOP Gov. Doug Ducey. In addition to Trump, who held a rally in the state earlier this month, Masters has also gotten help on the campaign trail by Republicans, not of the MAGA persuasion. Ducey and former Vice President Mike Pence stood with Masters at a school choice event this week, two days after the Trump rally. Polling over the last month — including this past week — has shown Masters gaining ground. A nonpartisan poll conducted last week by HighGround, an Arizona firm, found Masters less than 3 points behind Kelly. One of the biggest shifts seen since this summer is older voters moving to Masters, said Chuck Coughlin, CEO of HighGround. Just after the Aug. 2 primary — a bitter Republican contest — voters 65 and older “were all over the map,” Coughlin said. In the firm’s most recent poll, many of those voters were committed to the GOP, which is consistent with historic precedent. And while Kelly led with women by 20 percentage points in the firm’s polling just after the primary, that lead has fallen to 10 points, Coughlin said. Masters, meanwhile, has a 10-point lead with men. “It’s going to be tighter,” Coughlin said, noting Kelly is still outperforming Masters with unaffiliated voters. “What we see is Mark and all the Democrats continuing to perform well among that cohort of voters and winning them fairly well, but probably not well enough to go to sleep.” Masters’ increase in support comes as Democrats continue to outspend the Republican candidate, another sign of the GOP’s late momentum in the race. Since the start of the month, Democrats have outspent Republicans 2 to 1 on advertising, pouring in $19.3 million to $9. 8 million. That’s less of an advantage than Democrats had earlier in the general election, however, when their ads were tripling the GOP’s in the Arizona Senate race. More than half of Democrats’ October ad buys came from Kelly, whose dollars go much further than outside groups on television since candidates get discounted TV ad rates. But new spending figures show Republicans are adding as much new money to the race as Democrats. In the last week, Republicans bought $3. 2 million of new ads in Arizona, according to AdImpact, just over the $2.7 million from Kelly’s campaign and the Arizona Democratic Party. And Sentinel Action Fund, a .