6 Suspenseful Factors Clouding the Midterms HEAD TOPICS
6 Suspenseful Factors Clouding the Midterms
10/22/2022 8:01:00 PM From early-voting patterns to contested elections and possible Georgia runoffs a lot of wild stuff could happen that we can t totally anticipate
Source New York Magazine
From early-voting patterns to contested elections and possible Georgia runoffs a lot of wild stuff could happen that we can t totally anticipate From early-voting patterns to contested elections and possible Georgia runoffs a lot of wild stuff could happen that we can t totally anticipate. (39 percent, whereas Black voters only make up 29 percent of registered voters in the state).Is that good news for Democrats, who really need high youth and minority turnout to over-perform expectations this year? Maybe, but we don’t know, as Sean Trende pointed outtwo years ago when there was even more excitement about early-voting numbers:Unless you somehow know what is going to happen on Election Day, this argument is useless. To take an extreme example: Democrats could turn out every one of their voters early, and Republicans could still win the election by turning out more on Election Day. Read more:
New York Magazine » Bears player says he will check for deflated balls vs. Patriots: 'I heard it's still going on' Asian Pear, Celery, and Scallion Salad With Sesame Seeds 5 Early Signs of Dementia Redrawn Illinois congressional map gives most incumbents an election edge over newcomers, but issues such as economy, crime, abortion could also play a factor Roast Chicken with Hot Honey Recipe - Kelsey Youngman
This Roast Chicken with Hot Honey recipe gets its flavor from cardamom, raw honey, and orange peel. Get the recipe from Food & Wine. Read more >> Bears player says he will check for deflated balls vs. Patriots: 'I heard it's still going on'The accusations of Deflategate still hang over the New England Patriots, even though that entire saga happened nearly eight years ago. Chicago Bears DL Justin Jones was the most recent player to unearth the drama. Asian Pear, Celery, and Scallion Salad With Sesame SeedsIt's all about the fresh and flavorful crunch factor. 5 Early Signs of DementiaThese symptoms could provide an early warning that someone is at risk of developing dementia or Alzheimer's disease. Do any of them sound familiar? Redrawn Illinois congressional map gives most incumbents an election edge over newcomers, but issues such as economy, crime, abortion could also play a factorBut issues like economy, crime and abortion could also play a factor. Crime alone should level the playing field. To bad the corrupt media still tilts the field Another thing helping me decide, and many like me, is the lack of support Seniors have received from the candidate. Congress has railroaded them, will not vote on the Senior Relief bill due to Pelosi and sadly, Seniors still live below the poverty level. Democrat Corruption Becomes Major Theme in Midterm Election CycleCorruption in the Democrat Party has become a major theme in the 2022 midterm election cycle. Conservative Media accuses the Democrats of being Conservatives. More fake news later. A theme? More like a reality in the entire existence of that party. Early Voter Turnout In Virginia Is ‘Relatively Strong’ So FarWith less than three weeks until Election Day, early voter turnout in Virginia for the November midterms appears to be on pace to surpass the last midterm election in 2018. Vote no on I82 to save the tipped incomes of restaurant workers and keep independent restaurants sustainable! especially high percentage of that vote has been cast by Black voters (39 percent, whereas Black voters only make up 29 percent of registered voters in the state).Patriots, Titans and other picks for NFL Week 7 Lorenzo's Locks Lorenzo Reyes is back with his picks for Week 7 around the NFL.1 1/2 tbsp.Find a therapist to help with dementia Key points While some forms of cognitive decline are common signs of aging, others may predict a future diagnosis of dementia. Is that good news for Democrats, who really need high youth and minority turnout to over-perform expectations this year? Maybe, but we don’t know, as Sean Trende pointed out two years ago when there was even more excitement about early-voting numbers: Unless you somehow know what is going to happen on Election Day, this argument is useless. To take an extreme example: Democrats could turn out every one of their voters early, and Republicans could still win the election by turning out more on Election Day. Chicago Bears defensive lineman Justin Jones was the most recent player to unearth the drama ahead of his team's Week 7 Monday Night Football game against the Patriots. Obviously, that isn’t going to happen. Directions 1. But we exist somewhere along that spectrum. "Deflated balls," said Jones. Most, if not the overwhelming majority, of these early voters are people who would otherwise vote on Election Day. The researchers collected and analyzed information on study participant’s health, disease diagnoses, weight changes, and number of falls, as well as the results of tests measuring memory , problem-solving abilities, reaction times, and grip strength at the beginning of the study and at followup between five and nine years later. The fact that they decide to cast ballots early just isn’t all that interesting. I'm so serious. Serve immediately. We don’t know in these states what share of Republicans, Democrats, or independents are voting for Republicans or Democrats, and we don’t know how many voters for any party are going to end up voting on [Election Day]. This is all speculation dressed up as news. We going to see. Understanding early voting in this particular cycle is additionally difficult because we don’t know if the early-voting habits many Democrats cultivated during the COVID-19 pandemic will stick, and how many Republicans are still averse to anything other than Election Day voting after in 2020. So it’s best to wait and see. We play this game with honesty, man. Potential Polling Errors polling errors in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections , mostly involving under-sampling of non-college-educated white voters, which in turn led to underestimation of Trump’s vote. That could mean polls may be similarly off-kilter in the same direction again (even though most pollsters have tried to adjust methodologies to reduce under-sampling). But on the other hand, polls in the last midterm election were quite accurate . Then, as now, Donald Trump is not on the ballot anywhere. So what’s the appropriate precedent? We probably won’t know that until the results are in. But there are some signs that polls with reputations of being more or less favorable to the two parties are beginning to converge as this particular election approaches. In .