Crypto Predictions Site Polymarket Taking Bets on Whether Russia Will Use a Nuclear Weapon by 2023 HEAD TOPICS

Crypto Predictions Site Polymarket Taking Bets on Whether Russia Will Use a Nuclear Weapon by 2023

10/22/2022 6:31:00 PM

Traders on Polymarket which is not available to U S users are putting a 6% probability of Russia doing so

Source

CoinDesk

Cryptocurrency predictions site PolymarketHQ is accepting bets on if Russia will use a nuclear weapon before 2023. Traders on Polymarket which is not available to U S users are putting a 6% probability of Russia doing so Polymarket is not available to U.S.-based traders. Earlier this year,the site was fined $1.4 million and ordered to cease offering noncompliant markets by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission(CFTC) for not registering with it. Polymarket then limited access to only non-U.S. users. The current odds being offered on"Yes" on the nuclear weapon question are about 17 to 1, meaning you'd win $17 for every $1 you bet. On the other hand, betting correctly on"No" would win you $1.06 for every $1 you bet.More simply put, the market is putting a 6% probability on Russia using a nuke this year. Read more:
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Toyota Motor Corp said on Friday its annual vehicle production was likely to come in below its initial target, as a persistent global semiconductor shortage hampers efforts by the world's biggest car maker by sales to boost output. Read more >> PolymarketHQ I don’t think so PolymarketHQ The West is more likely to use one and blame it on Russia. How will Crypto Predictions handle that? The West has tried (not yet successful) to turn the Nuclear power plant into Chernobyl X 10. Does recreating Chernobyl count as a nuclear weapon? PolymarketHQ Is there one where Russia gets framed for using a nuke? PolymarketHQ You can serve the people of Ukraine in this difficult time for her by purchasing NFTs posted by me on Twitter. You can buy them on Bybit_Official (find them by number AMPC02470 ,AMPC04891,AMPC01674, AMPC01084 NFT on Bybit). NFTbuy Creator: anndylian PolymarketHQ r not. china dont want this. PolymarketHQ I will already answer this clearly. No. No they will not. PolymarketHQ Qui veut parier? PolymarketHQ I don't understand why people get upset about this... NATO stance is strong conventional weapons retaliation if Russia uses tac nuke (to prevent escalation). If Russia uses their ICBM's, that's another story: full nuclear retaliation 👍 PolymarketHQ He bet on nuke and won many tokens. PolymarketHQ A crazy world. We are betting on whether we'll die or not PolymarketHQ Easy no bet NBA Player Props Today - Our Best Bets for October 21Hoop heads are treated to 11 games on the NBA schedule tonight with a plethora of player props to sink their teeth into. Our three favorite props include DeMar and Zion to dominate the score sheet, and Julius Randle to control the boards. PolymarketHQ wallstreetbets YOLO PolymarketHQ $Shib $Marvin $Defido 🔥🔥🔥 PolymarketHQ BOYCOTT!! PolymarketHQ smh wtf is wrong with these people PolymarketHQ And on Putin’s being offed? PolymarketHQ 🤣 goodbye bitcoin 💩 PolymarketHQ That's disgusting PolymarketHQ Who is your fav world leader One-on-one with former director of the CIA, David PetraeusFormer director of the CIA David Petraeus says in eight months, Russia has lost more than three times what it lost in nine tough years in Afghanistan. Watch the full interview: Was he still the director when he had to accept his miscalculation on afganistan and lost the war for United states? What about America it self? 😄 Kim Jong Un’s Batshit Threats Just Got a Lot ScarierNorth Korean leader Kim Jong Un, proud though he is of his nukes, is showing off another much easier way to threaten the South. Troy vs South Alabama Odds, Picks & Predictions - NCAAF Week 8Tired of the same old outcome on TNF ? Maybe give the Sun Belt a try 🤷‍ Check out our best bet and predictions for Troy vs. South Alabama 👉 Great call, Covers! Troy 5-2 ATS and South Alabama 4-2 ATS been making money 💰 all season 🔥 Uh it’s called the Fun Belt Yankees vs Astros ALCS Game 2 Odds, Picks, & Predictions Today — Isolating AlvarezIt was apparent that the Yankees were not going to let Yordan Alvarez be the one to beat them in Game 1. He rarely saw pitches near the strike zone and went 0-for-2 with two walks. Covers_josh's picks expect more of the same in Game 2. _josh 75% of the moneyline handle is on the Yankees (+130) tonight DKSportsbook 👀 Padres vs Phillies NLCS Game 3 Odds, Picks, & Predictions Today — MusgrooveJoe Musgrove has confounded the Phillies for the most part, and in his current form, needs to be backed on the mound tonight. See why we're putting our faith in the star Padres hurler with our best MLB picks for Game 3 of the NLCS. How do we reconcile this with _josh and DerekCarty BatX under for Joe? on “Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023?” following an escalation in tensions between Russia and Ukraine and increased calls by Russian authorities to utilize such weapons.Today’s NBA matchups No stopping the Zion train Another player that is looking to get his career back on track is none other than the former No..in South Korea or maybe Japan . Polymarket is not available to U.S. Wednesday night's tilt against the Nets was a glimpse at how dominant Williamson can be when healthy and on the court.-based traders. Earlier this year, the site was fined $1.  Charlotte had an excellent start to their season, winning big in San Antonio.4 million and ordered to cease offering noncompliant markets by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) for not registering with it. On Wednesday, he unleashed 250 cannon shots—seen as his primary weapon of choice rather than missiles and tactical nukes—into “maritime buffer zones” off the east and west coasts after South Korea launched more military exercises that the South’s conservative president, Yoon Suk-yeol, believes are essential for defense against the North. Polymarket then limited access to only non-U. For all the Spurs' defensive struggles, offensively, they were able to produce 58 points in the paint.S. users. I feel comfortable with Zion following up Wednesday's strong start with an even more dynamic scoring performance. The current odds being offered on"Yes" on the nuclear weapon question are about 17 to 1, meaning you'd win $17 for every $1 you bet. On the other hand, betting correctly on"No" would win you $1.5 points (-108) DeMar dialled in Last season saw the return of Demar Derozan as a significant player in the NBA. The biggest U. 06 for every $1 you bet. More simply put, the market is putting a 6% probability on Russia using a nuke this year. The 33-year-old is amongst the older stars in the NBA, but if Wednesday against the Miami Heat was any indication, he's got plenty left in the tank. According to the bet's page, a prediction market on Russia's use of nuclear weapons “has been requested many times recently by esteemed academics and thought leaders from across the world, and it is strongly within the public's interest to have accurate price discovery and realtime forecasts on such a topic.” Polymarket wrote that it considered the prediction market on this topic “a public good, in order to provide clarity to society on one of the most pressing issues of the 21st century.  To score 37 points against anyone is impressive, but scoring that much against a Miami Heat that ranked fourth best in points allowed last season makes that much more meaningful.” Polymarket detailed that “this market will resolve to ‘Yes’ if the Russian Federation detonates a nuclear device in an offensive capacity by Dec.S. 31, 2022, 11:59:59 p.3 points per night on average against shooting guards last season.m. ET. I like the 14-year veteran to keep the momentum going and score in bunches tonight. Otherwise, this market will resolve to ‘No.’” It added that to meet the “Yes” criteria, the detonation of a nuclear device must be in an offensive capacity, must not be a test and must either be claimed by the Russian Federation or widely accepted to be from the Russian Federation. That is the immediate tactical threat. UPDATE (23:20 UTC): Clarifies passage about CFTC order, adds detail about probability. Read more about .