Will There Be a Coronavirus Vaccine for People 50 Plus?
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If you get to seroconversion in over 95 percent of all vaccinated people, “that’s a great vaccine,” Duprex says. But he says that’s for something like the measles shot; flu shots are much less effective. For the coronavirus? “Who knows if 25, 30 or even 50 percent effectiveness will be enough to protect older people,” he says. “We would love to hit measles-level effectiveness. If you get just over 50 percent in younger, healthy people, that’s like fighting a battle with one leg. If the vaccine doesn’t work as well in older folks — say, 25 percent — it’s like fighting the battle with one and a half of your legs missing.” That’s why there’s another step to this process.
A Coronavirus Vaccine Made for Those 50-Plus
A top goal of researchers is preventing COVID-19 among older populations
Christopher Pledger / eyevine One thing is certain: It won’t be just another flu vaccine. Medical researchers worldwide are working toward a single goal: to develop a vaccine, or vaccines, to protect us from the novel . The crucial puzzle piece? Ensuring it is effective in the most at-risk population — older adults. As we age, our immune systems become less efficient and, as a result, vaccines are less effective — the 2017–2018 flu vaccine, for example, was 38 percent effective in the general population but less than 20 percent effective in people over 65. So a standard antibody-producing vaccine, while helpful, may not be the preventive resource we need. Get instant access to members-only products and hundreds of discounts, a free second membership, and a subscription to AARP the Magazine. Antibodies are key to a second goal, too: finding a treatment that doctors can use to mitigate the worst symptoms and outcomes of the disease when people do get it.A winding road forward br
Once you’re exposed to a virus, a race begins between the virus and the body’s immune system; which one will overwhelm the other? “If we can give the immune system a head start, instead of the body starting from zero, we get it to a stronger position,” says Paul Duprex, director of the Center for Vaccine Research at the University of Pittsburgh. “How do we do that? We expose people to fragments of the virus before the real virus comes along. That is the process of vaccination in the simplest sense.” Over the past several months, you’ve probably read dozens of stories of promising new vaccines, including trials being conducted on people 50 and older. Anthony Fauci, M.D., our national beacon of medical hope through this crisis, made headlines in early June when he said that we should have “a couple of hundred million doses” of a by the beginning of 2021. But here’s the problem with all that news, Duprex says. In a Zoom video call, he holds up a stapled sheaf of papers that has lists and details printed on both sides. “This is the World Health Organization’s master list of candidate vaccines. Look at all these.” He shows me: There are scores, if not hundreds. “These are in clinical development. Only a few have gone to phase one clinical trials. It’s important for your readers to understand: We don’t have a vaccine. Even if it’s in phase one, it’s not a vaccine. It’s a candidate vaccine. It’s not a vaccine until it’s a product. A product of millions and millions of doses. That’s when it matters.” And that’s why even Fauci can’t say whether all those millions of doses he’s talking about will even be effective. In essence, every scientist in the world is trying to turn a marathon into a sprint. Here’s how that final product, or products, will most likely happen.Step one Identify the target br
Back in March, researchers from the University of Texas and the National Institutes of Health revealed the first three-dimensional atomic map of the novel coronavirus’ spike protein, the part of the virus that binds to and infects human cells. The spike proteins look exactly as they sound: the spikelike structures we see sticking out of the ubiquitous spherical renderings of the virus. AARP Membership — $12 for your first year when you sign up for Automatic Renewal Get instant access to members-only products and hundreds of discounts, a free second membership, and a subscription to AARP the Magazine. Flowers & Gifts 25% off sitewide and 30% off select items See more Flowers & Gifts offers > “It’s all about getting that spike protein into a person in a clinical trial and asking: Do we generate antibodies that are ready to neutralize the virus?” The X factor here is ensuring that this antibody reaction happens robustly in older people. Researchers determine a vaccine’s effectiveness based on the “seroconversion of infection,” a term that refers to your body’s production of detectable levels of an antibody.If you get to seroconversion in over 95 percent of all vaccinated people, “that’s a great vaccine,” Duprex says. But he says that’s for something like the measles shot; flu shots are much less effective. For the coronavirus? “Who knows if 25, 30 or even 50 percent effectiveness will be enough to protect older people,” he says. “We would love to hit measles-level effectiveness. If you get just over 50 percent in younger, healthy people, that’s like fighting a battle with one leg. If the vaccine doesn’t work as well in older folks — say, 25 percent — it’s like fighting the battle with one and a half of your legs missing.” That’s why there’s another step to this process.